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Risky Interviewers (Monte Carlo – Progressive π’s)
Download XLSX (MS Excel 2010+)
This MS Excel file is a self-contained case study exploring how structuring the # of available positions can be helpful or destructive to a company for a given candidate pool.
Recommended for every intelligent hiring manager!
SPOILERS: Under my assumptions, creative firms need only offer 1 position, while standard-intensive firms need to offer more than 1 position in order to reduce mismatch costs.
- Create a Monte Carlo simulation when marginal probabilities (priors) change upon certain triggers (e.g. when you get hired, you get a 10% bonus to the probability of being the top candidate in a future job).
- Reinforcing Bayesian inferences to find that the “experienced” candidates you hire may not be what they seem.
These 2 issues listed above grant you a distinct challenge which you might not find in many other MS Excel learning offerings.
Requirements:
- A basic understanding of Conditional Probabilities (e.g. Multiplicative Identity and Bayes’ Theorem)
- A basic understanding of IF and OR functions
- A good sense of humor!
Wealth Gap (Monte Carlo – Unequal Weights)
Download File (MS Excel 2010+)
This MS Excel file is a self-contained case study to teach Excel users how to create a Monte Carlo simulation while exploring how to handle the United States wealth gap. For most of you, the essential skill-building includes:
- Creating a Monte Carlo simulation when the outcomes do not have equal probabilities.
- Creating a random outcome the probability of which is dependent on the survivors of previous generation (proportions change when dealing with generations of the fruit fly, drosophila melanogaster, for example).
These 2 issues listed above grant you a distinct challenge which you might not find in many other MS Excel learning offerings.
Requirements:
- A basic understanding of dominant and recessive traits from high school biology
- A basic understanding of IF and AND functions
- A good sense of humor!